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20 things you might not know about Nigeria economy post COVID-19 pandemic

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There is no doubt the current COVID-19 pandemic would be responsible for many jib lost as a result of downturn in the economy.

In the wake of this and in preparedness for any eventuality, the Ministry of Finance, Budget and National Planning and the Department for Internal Development (DFID) held a citizens’ dialogue session on Nigeria’s response to the fall in oil prices and the COVID-19 pandemic this week.

The panel was led by the Minister for Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed who was supported by Clem Agba (Minister of State, Budget and National Planning), Ben Akabueze (DG Budget Office of the Federation), and Lade Jaiyeola (CEO, Nigeria Economic Summit Group).

Below are 20 takeaways from the session:

1. .The federal government expects GDP to contract by 3.5% YoY (Year on Year) in 2020.

2..Oil earnings is now projected to decline by 90.0% in 2020.

3..Estimated net oil and gas revenue available for Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) distribution is now projected to be 80.0% lower at N1.1 trillion. It used to be N5.5 trillion.

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4..Oil production is now projected at 1.7mbpd (million barrel per day) instead of 2.18mbpd. However, an OPEC output cut agreement may also be responsible for this dip.

5..Oil price is expected to average $20 per barrel (recall that Nigeria’s budget is benchmarked on $57 per barrel).

6..The average production cost of Nigerian crude has been revised downward to $28 per barrel from $33 per barrel (with implications for Petroleum Profit Tax).

7..Customs revenue is now projected at N1.2 trillion in 2020 (vs. N1.5 trillion previously).

8..Amount accruable to VAT (Value Added Tax) pool account now projected at N2.0 trillion in 2020 (vs. N2.1 trillion previously).

9..Amount accruable to federation account now projected at N3.9 trillion (vs. N8.6 trillion previously).

10.. Projected federal government receipt from federation account for 2020 is now put at N2.4 trillion (compared to N4.8 trillion previously).

11..States and local governments are now likely to obtain N2.1 trillion and N1.5 trillion, apiece, from FAAC (compared to N3.3 trillion and N2.5 trillion, respectively, in previous estimates).

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12..Projected N5.6 trillion budget deficit to be financed through privatization proceeds (N126 billion), draw downs from FGN Special Accounts (c.N260 billion), bilateral/multilateral draw downs (N387 billion), and new borrowings (N4.6 trillion).

13..Debt service pressure to be eased by significant moratoriums on new loans (IMF’s RFI of $3.4 billion comes with 3 years moratorium) and expected deferrals of current debt service obligations until macro conditions improve.

14..As part of measures to alleviate the impact of COVID-19, the government has set up an Economic Sustainability Committee to, among others, assess systemic vulnerabilities and develop programs that would make the expected recession short-lived and ensure sustainable long-term growth.

15..Measures are underway to strengthen agricultural value-chain with strategic focus on land acquisition, road networks, and funding.

Government also plans to off-take agro-products when market conditions are unfavourable.

16..Government is looking at funding support for the aviation sector.

17..The president is likely to decide on land border closures after the current health crisis. Negotiations with neighboring countries have been smooth.

18..Although similar challenges were faced in 2016, Nigeria currently has significantly lower fiscal buffers.

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19..The budget office is finalizing a revised 2020-2022 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) as well as an amendment to the 2020 Appropriation act

20..According to the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG), Nigeria needs N10.1 trillion worth of interventions right now.

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Abdulrahman Obaje
Abdulrahman Obaje
Prince Abdulrahman Obaje is a Media and ICT Consultant, Journalist, online marketer, social media strategist, Mathematician and Computer Scientist based in Abuja, Nigeria. He is the Founder and the Publisher of The Informavores!. You can reach me on +234 805 939 5252 or send i-witness report directly to me on news@informavores.com.ng.

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Business and Economy

BECCIMA Lauds FG For Initiating To Establish Cottage Industries In 774 LGAs

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The Benue State Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (BECCIMA) has lauded the Federal Government for establishing cottage industries across all the Local Governments Areas (LGAs) in Nigeria

President of BECCIMA, Dr Paul Ubwa, made the commendation at a news conference on Friday in Makurdi.

“It is a well thought out initiative by the Federal Government to set aside the sum of one trillion naira to establish cottage industries in each of the 774 LGAs in the country.

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“This all important news was disclosed by the Hon. Minister for Special Duties and Inter-Governmental Affairs, George Akume.

“We the organised private sector in Benue express our sincere appreciation to the government of President Muhammadu Buhari for coming up with this unique initiative. adsbygoogle || []).push({});

“The initiative is aimed at creating wealth for the common man,’’ he said.

According to him, the initiative when implemented will go a long way in eradicating poverty in Benue State and indeed Nigeria and the president’s name will be written in gold for posterity.

“In Benue state, we are hoping that in order to ensure stability, sustainability and longevity of the proposed cottage industries, each should be incorporated as a company with a Board of Directors.

“This should be made up of indigenes of the catchment area or host community.

“The plan will involve the local government council itself, traditional institutions, cooperative societies and associations, youth/women groups, existing entrepreneurs, traditional land owners and other interest groups.

“We are assured of and envisage the support of the Benue State government’’

Ubwa also appealed to the Federal Government and most especially, the Minister of Special Duties and Inter-Governmental Affairs to make Benue one of the pilot states for the take-off of the programme.

“On our part, we stand ready to co-operate with the ministry and other support agencies to ensure success and sustainability of the initiative,’’ he said. 

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Abdulrahman Obaje
Abdulrahman Obaje
Prince Abdulrahman Obaje is a Media and ICT Consultant, Journalist, online marketer, social media strategist, Mathematician and Computer Scientist based in Abuja, Nigeria. He is the Founder and the Publisher of The Informavores!. You can reach me on +234 805 939 5252 or send i-witness report directly to me on news@informavores.com.ng.

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Business and Economy

FG Flag-off Gold Processing Cluster in Kogi

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The Federal government on Tuesday carried out the groundbreaking ceremony of the Gold Processing Cluster, located in Mopa, Mopamuro council area of Kogi State.

The Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of Mines and Steel Development, Dr.

Oluwatoyin Akinlade who led the Federal government team for the event said the projects is part of the FG efforts to refocus the economy from oil depended.

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Dr. Akinlade said the Gold Processing Cluster will also cater for other Gems stones and solid mineral mining activities in the North Central of the country.

“The Ministry of Mines and Steel Development has commenced the implementation of programmes aimed at establishing and accelerating mineral value chain activities through the development of a Mineral Mining cluster in each of the six geopolitical zone. adsbygoogle || []).push({});

“The objective of the project is to Assembly and coordinate the activities of the artisanal and small scale miners in the identified areas based on the identified mineral type for each geopolitical zone.

“The mining cluster is to provide common facilities and coordinated activities to enable easy formalization of the artisanal miners in the identified zones and avail them an opportunity for mineral value addition, as well as creation of market access.

“Furthermore, the cluster shall be adequately equipped with state of the art equipment for the purpose of imparting modern morning expertise and knowledge into the teeming youths across north Central zone. Provision shall also be made for heavy equipment such as excavators leasing by the artisan miners.”

The Kogi State Governor, Yahaya Bello said the state government will consolidate on the idea of the Gold Processing Cluster in diversifying the economy of the state.

Bello who was represented at the event by the state Commissioner for Information and Communication, Mr. Kingsley Fanwo said, “We thank Mr. President for this project. This will spur the economy of the state. It will create jobs and make Kogi the economic hubs of the country.

“It will increase the trading of the state. This underscore the economic blueprint of the state government in making the state a giant amongst other states in term of industrialization.”

Fanwo who promised that the state will ensure proper security of the projects, urged stakeholders to take advantage of the opportunities.

The Permanent secretary said the project is expected to be commissioned by ending of June, and become operational immediately.

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Abdulrahman Obaje
Abdulrahman Obaje
Prince Abdulrahman Obaje is a Media and ICT Consultant, Journalist, online marketer, social media strategist, Mathematician and Computer Scientist based in Abuja, Nigeria. He is the Founder and the Publisher of The Informavores!. You can reach me on +234 805 939 5252 or send i-witness report directly to me on news@informavores.com.ng.

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Business and Economy

MPC Retains MPR At 11.5%, Holds Other Parameters Constant

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The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has voted unanimously to retain the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 11.5%.

The  Governor, of CBN, Godwin Emefiele who disclosed this while reading the communique in press briefing in Abuja, at the end of the MPC meeting said that the committee decision are: MPR retained at 11.50%, asymmetric corridor of +100/-700 basis points around the MPR, CRR was retained at 27.5%, While Liquid Ratio was also kept at 30%.

Author Profile

Abdulrahman Obaje
Abdulrahman Obaje
Prince Abdulrahman Obaje is a Media and ICT Consultant, Journalist, online marketer, social media strategist, Mathematician and Computer Scientist based in Abuja, Nigeria. He is the Founder and the Publisher of The Informavores!. You can reach me on +234 805 939 5252 or send i-witness report directly to me on news@informavores.com.ng.
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